3 prospects · 2025 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Kyle Williams (age 22.4 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #42 (range #1-#87, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is mixed: 1 starters-or-better vs 1 backups-or-busts among the 2 comps with known outcomes. Closest comps: Isaiah Hodgins (Contributor), Skyy Moore (Contributor), Elijah Moore (Starter). Ceiling is Elijah Moore (Starter); floor is Isaiah Hodgins (Contributor). 1 of 2 closest comps with NFL outcomes ended up backups or busts: Isaiah Coulter. Mixed signal from history. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 38 spots ahead of the room (board #42 vs consensus #80), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.
Draftanomics projects Travis Hunter (age 21.9 at draft) as a first-round pick at #15 (range #1-#30, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 2 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Elijah Moore (Starter), Rashod Bateman (Starter), Treylon Burks (Contributor). Ceiling is Rashod Bateman (Starter); floor is Dyami Brown (Contributor). No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a lean fade: the model sits 14 spots below the room's consensus #2 — don't pay sticker price. The 14-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.
Draftanomics projects Jack Bech (age 22.4 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #94 (range #73-#115, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 3 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Amon-Ra St. Brown (Franchise), Elijah Moore (Starter), Rashod Bateman (Starter). Ceiling is Amon-Ra St. Brown (Franchise); floor is Dyami Brown (Contributor). The call is a lean fade: the model sits 29 spots below the room's consensus #65 — don't pay sticker price. The 29-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.