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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2025 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (TE)
HF
Harold Fannin
TE · Bowling Green
20.8 yo · 6'3" · 241 lb
OI
Oronde Gadsden II
TE · Syracuse
21.8 yo · 6'5" · 243 lb
Tiebreaker
Medium confidence
Take Harold Fannin over Oronde Gadsden II.

Decisive factor: 170-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Harold Fannin
Predicted pick
#47
range #25–#69
Bust probability
0%
0%0/5 comps
Consensus rank
#97
on 25 boards
Career arc
Contributor
tier · Day 2
2nd-deal AAV
$1Mmodel
Oronde Gadsden II
Predicted pick
#217
range #183–#251
Bust probability
0%
0%0/5 comps
Consensus rank
#133
on 1 board
Career arc
Starter
tier · Day 3
2nd-deal AAV
$1Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Harold Fannin· RB / WR / TE
  • Oronde Gadsden II· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionHarold Fannin0
  • AthleticismHarold Fannin44
  • AgeOronde Gadsden II85
  • ConsensusOronde Gadsden II26
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Harold Fannin50
  • Breakout ageHarold Fannin50
  • WorkloadHarold Fannin100
  • RAS × productionHarold Fannin0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

Shared comps
  • Chig OkonkwoTE · Starter→ shared byHarold FanninOronde Gadsden II
  • Brevin JordanTE · Contributor→ shared byHarold FanninOronde Gadsden II
  • Trey McBrideTE · Starter→ shared byHarold FanninOronde Gadsden II
Harold Fannin
  • Chig Okonkwoshared
    TE · #143
    Starter
  • Brevin Jordanshared
    TE · #147
    Contributor
  • Trey McBrideshared
    TE · #55
    Starter
  • Isaiah Likely
    TE · #139
    Contributor
  • Harrison Bryant
    TE · #115
    Contributor
Oronde Gadsden II
  • Brevin Jordanshared
    TE · #147
    Contributor
  • Chig Okonkwoshared
    TE · #143
    Starter
  • Pat Freiermuth
    TE · #55
    Starter
  • Trey McBrideshared
    TE · #55
    Starter
  • James Mitchell
    TE · #177
    Bust

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Harold Fannin
Risks
  • TE slow 40 (4.71s)
    40-yard dash of 4.71s — below-average separation speed for the position.
  • Consensus skeptic
    26 boards place him at mean rank #81; model has him #47 — a 34-spot gap. When boards fade a player this hard, the model is usually the one missing something.
Opportunities
  • Strong comp group
    2 of 2 closest comps with NFL outcomes became Starters or Franchise players: Chig Okonkwo, Trey McBride. The historical neighborhood overwhelmingly produced NFL contributors.
Oronde Gadsden II
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
  • Consensus says higher
    2 boards have him at mean rank #152; model has him #217 — a 64-spot fade. Analysts converging this much above the model is a tell that the model is undervaluing him.
  • Strong comp group
    3 of 4 closest comps with NFL outcomes became Starters or Franchise players: Chig Okonkwo, Pat Freiermuth, Trey McBride. The historical neighborhood overwhelmingly produced NFL contributors.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Harold FanninOronde Gadsden II· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Harold Fannin

Draftanomics projects Harold Fannin (age 20.8 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #47 (range #25-#69, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 2 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Chig Okonkwo (Starter), Brevin Jordan (Contributor), Trey McBride (Starter). Ceiling is Trey McBride (Starter); floor is Brevin Jordan (Contributor). 40-yard dash of 4.71s — below-average separation speed for the position. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 34 spots ahead of the room (board #47 vs consensus #81), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.

Oronde Gadsden II

Draftanomics projects Oronde Gadsden II (age 21.8 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #217 (range #183-#251, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 3 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Brevin Jordan (Contributor), Chig Okonkwo (Starter), Pat Freiermuth (Starter). Ceiling is Pat Freiermuth (Starter); floor is Brevin Jordan (Contributor). The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #152 and the model won't take him before #217 — a 64-spot markdown. The 64-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.