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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2025 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
TH
Travis Hunter
WR · Colorado
21.9 yo · — · —
JB
Jack Bech
WR · TCU
22.4 yo · 6'1" · 214 lb
JN
Jaylin Noel
WR · Iowa St.
22.6 yo · 5'10" · 194 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Travis Hunter
Predicted pick
#15
range #1–#30
Bust probability
0%
0%0/5 comps
Consensus rank
#1
on 27 boards
Career arc
Contributor
tier · 1st Round
2nd-deal AAV
$1Mmodel
Jack Bech
Predicted pick
#94
range #73–#115
Bust probability
0%
0%0/5 comps
Consensus rank
#66
on 25 boards
Career arc
Starter
tier · Day 2
2nd-deal AAV
$1Mmodel
Jaylin Noel
Predicted pick
#41
range #17–#65
Bust probability
0%
0%0/5 comps
Consensus rank
#56
on 25 boards
Career arc
Starter
tier · Day 2
2nd-deal AAV
$1Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Travis Hunter· RB / WR / TE
  • Jack Bech· RB / WR / TE
  • Jaylin Noel· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionTravis Hunter0
  • AthleticismJaylin Noel75
  • AgeJack Bech81
  • ConsensusTravis Hunter92
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Travis Hunter50
  • Breakout ageTravis Hunter50
  • WorkloadTravis Hunter100
  • RAS × productionJack Bech57

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

Shared comps
  • Elijah MooreWR · Starter · injury concern→ shared byTravis HunterJack BechJaylin Noel
  • Rashod BatemanWR · Starter→ shared byTravis HunterJack BechJaylin Noel
  • Dyami BrownWR · Contributor→ shared byTravis HunterJack Bech
  • Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · Franchise→ shared byJack BechJaylin Noel
Travis Hunter
  • Elijah Mooreshared
    WR · #34 · ⚠ injury
    Starter
  • Rashod Batemanshared
    WR · #27
    Starter
  • Treylon Burks
    WR · #18
    Contributor
  • Skyy Moore
    WR · #54
    Contributor
  • Dyami Brownshared
    WR · #82
    Contributor
Jack Bech
  • Amon-Ra St. Brownshared
    WR · #112
    Franchise
  • Elijah Mooreshared
    WR · #34 · ⚠ injury
    Starter
  • Rashod Batemanshared
    WR · #27
    Starter
  • Tyquan Thornton
    WR · #50
    Contributor
  • Dyami Brownshared
    WR · #82
    Contributor
Jaylin Noel
  • Terrace Marshall Jr.
    WR · #59
    Contributor
  • Elijah Mooreshared
    WR · #34 · ⚠ injury
    Starter
  • Amon-Ra St. Brownshared
    WR · #112
    Franchise
  • Ja'Marr Chase
    WR · #5
    Franchise
  • Rashod Batemanshared
    WR · #27
    Starter

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Travis Hunter
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
  • Strong comp group
    2 of 2 closest comps with NFL outcomes became Starters or Franchise players: Elijah Moore, Rashod Bateman. The historical neighborhood overwhelmingly produced NFL contributors.
Jack Bech
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
  • Strong comp group
    3 of 3 closest comps with NFL outcomes became Starters or Franchise players: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Elijah Moore, Rashod Bateman. The historical neighborhood overwhelmingly produced NFL contributors.
Jaylin Noel
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
  • Strong comp group
    4 of 4 closest comps with NFL outcomes became Starters or Franchise players: Elijah Moore, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Ja'Marr Chase (+1 more). The historical neighborhood overwhelmingly produced NFL contributors.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Travis HunterJack BechJaylin Noel· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Travis Hunter

Draftanomics projects Travis Hunter (age 21.9 at draft) as a first-round pick at #15 (range #1-#30, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 2 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Elijah Moore (Starter), Rashod Bateman (Starter), Treylon Burks (Contributor). Ceiling is Rashod Bateman (Starter); floor is Dyami Brown (Contributor). No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a lean fade: the model sits 14 spots below the room's consensus #2 — don't pay sticker price. The 14-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.

Jack Bech

Draftanomics projects Jack Bech (age 22.4 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #94 (range #73-#115, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 3 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Amon-Ra St. Brown (Franchise), Elijah Moore (Starter), Rashod Bateman (Starter). Ceiling is Amon-Ra St. Brown (Franchise); floor is Dyami Brown (Contributor). The call is a lean fade: the model sits 29 spots below the room's consensus #65 — don't pay sticker price. The 29-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.

Jaylin Noel

Draftanomics projects Jaylin Noel (age 22.6 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #41 (range #17-#65, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 4 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Terrace Marshall Jr. (Contributor), Elijah Moore (Starter), Amon-Ra St. Brown (Franchise). Ceiling is Ja'Marr Chase (Franchise); floor is Terrace Marshall Jr. (Contributor). The call is a value lean: #41 against a consensus #55 is a 14-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.