Edge rusher EDGE
Sacks + TFLs per game + first-step quickness. Pass-rush production genuinely predicts at this position — one of the model's most trusted groups.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many edge rushers land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 21 edge rushers with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2020 board, tier by tier.
Only Chase Young carries a blue-chip grade at edge rusher — the Ohio St. product projects No. 3 overall. Mind the gap after Young: K'Lavon Chaisson is next, and he is 22 picks away.
The first-round shelf is one name deep: K'Lavon Chaisson out of LSU, pegged at No. 25 overall. The drop behind Chaisson is the story — A.J. Epenesa does not come off the board for another 34 picks.
A.J. Epenesa leads a 5-deep Day 2 group — the meat of the EDGE board — starting at a projected No. 59 overall. The drop to D.J. Wonnum is 18 projected picks: a step, not a cliff. One split worth knowing: consensus puts Yetur Gross-Matos at No. 23, 66 spots above our call.
This is where the class lives: 14 edge rushers carry a Day 3 grade, with D.J. Wonnum out of South Carolina at the front of the line at No. 116 overall. Alton Robinson carries the tier's risk, a 64 percent bust probability from a model with real signal at edge rusher.