Refreshed just now
2016 NFL Draft prospect
Jerell Adams
age 23.3 · 6'5" · 247 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 12% and the realistic range is No. 75 to No. 259.
rank#216
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Jerell Adams at pick #216; he was actually picked #184 by NYG. 2 NFL seasons in, he's carved out a genuine role (grading 7.4 of 20 per season), and the second-contract question is still open — no new deal yet.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#216TE·South Carolina
The league moved faster than our board — NYG took him at No. 184, 32 picks ahead of our No. 216 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Jerell Adams at #216 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and NYG took him at No. 184, 32 picks earlier than our grade. Bust risk projects at 12%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #102 pre-draft; our board sat 114 spots lower.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 6, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk3
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports