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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Sheldon Day
age 21.8 · 6'1" · 293 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 35% and the realistic range is No. 38 to No. 194.
rank#82$1.4M
FBS Independents→ JAX's 2016 class
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Sheldon Day at pick #82; he was actually picked #103 by JAX. 2 NFL seasons in, he's hung on the fringe of the rotation (grading 6.2 of 20 per season).
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#82DT·Notre Dame
We had him No. 82 on draft night; JAX didn't call his name until No. 103 — a 21-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Sheldon Day at #82 on draft night — a Day 2 grade — and JAX took him at No. 103, 21 picks later than our grade. Bust risk projects at 35%, near the position baseline.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 3, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Draftanomics Pick?
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk1
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports