Refreshed just now
2016 NFL Draft prospect
KeiVarae Russell
age 22.5 · 5'11" · 192 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 60% and the realistic range is No. 82 to No. 266.
rank#223
FBS Independents→ KAN's 2016 class
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded KeiVarae Russell at pick #223; he was actually picked #74 by KAN. 2 NFL seasons in, he's barely gotten on the field (grading 1.9 of 20 per season).
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#223CB·Notre Dame
The league moved faster than our board — KAN took him at No. 74, 149 picks ahead of our No. 223 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had KeiVarae Russell at #223 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and KAN took him at No. 74, 149 picks earlier than our grade. Bust risk projects at 60% — well above the position median; the model is flagging this as a high-variance pick. The room had him #68 pre-draft; our board sat 155 spots lower.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 7, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports