← Back to prospect
Print-ready scout sheet

Duke Riley

LB · LSU · age 22.7
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 6, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#108
Day 3
Bust probability
39%
Moderate
Actual NFL pick
#75
ATL
Consensus rank
#150
18 sources

Why this projection

+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
Boards ranking him top-100+0.05
charting total career snaps-0.03
Pre-draft consensus-0.03
cons max rank+0.03
charting run def grade career avg+0.02
Age-adjusted production+0.01
charting run stop per opp career+0.01
School / program strength-0.01

Pre-draft consensus (19 sources)

ESPN Scouts Inc.#66
Big Blue View#91
Bleacher Report (Matt Miller)#58
Drafttek#93
ESPN (Jeff Legwold)#67
Fanspeak (Steve Shoup)#112
Football Room (Dave Druckenmiller)#98
Fox Sports (Dieter Kurtenbach)#84
Hail To The District (Rajan Nanavati)#108
Lombardi Ave (Dan Dahlke)#73
NFL Com (Mike Mayock)#113
NFL Mocks (Sayre Bedinger)#85
Pride Of Detroit (Alex Reno)#118
Pro Football Focus#121
SB Nation (Dan Kadar)#108
Sporting News (Eric Galko)#85

NFL outcomes (so far)

Seasons
1
Avg snap share
55%

Closest historical comps

PlayerDraftYear 1 grade (of 20)Arc
Ramik Wilson2015 · #1183.3Starter
Arik Armstead2015 · #174.8Franchise
Shane Ray2015 · #235.6Franchise
Leonard Williams2015 · #65.6Franchise
Dante Fowler2015 · #3Starter
Draftanomics · NFL draft intelligenceProjections from Draftanomics's career-value model. Defensible at every line.