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T.J. Watt

OLB · Wisconsin · age 22.5 · 6'4" · 252 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 6, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#76
Day 2
Bust probability
6%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#30
PIT
Consensus rank
#42
24 sources

Why this projection

+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg-0.06
Boards ranking him top-100+0.06
charting fir career avg-0.04
Boards ranking him top-50+0.04
charting total career snaps-0.03
Athletic testing+0.02
charting missed tackle rate-0.02
Pre-draft consensus+0.01

Pre-draft consensus (25 sources)

ESPN Scouts Inc.#37
Big Blue View#46
Bleacher Report (Matt Miller)#42
Bleeding Green Nation (Ben Natan)#80
Drafttek#43
ESPN (Jeff Legwold)#44
Fanspeak (Steve Shoup)#51
Football Room (Dave Druckenmiller)#50
Fox Sports (Dieter Kurtenbach)#58
Hail To The District (Rajan Nanavati)#25
Inside The Star (Jess Haynie)#11
Lombardi Ave (Dan Dahlke)#46
Mile High Report (Christopher Hart)#49
Nesn#50
NFL Com (Mike Mayock)#35
NFL Mocks (Sayre Bedinger)#35

NFL outcomes (so far)

Seasons
1
Avg snap share
83%

Closest historical comps

PlayerDraftYear 1 grade (of 20)Arc
Kwon Alexander2015 · #1245.7Franchise
Vic Beasley2015 · #85.9Franchise
Shaq Thompson2015 · #254.2Starter
Eli Harold2015 · #794.1Starter
Neiron Ball2015 · #1612.6Bust
Draftanomics · NFL draft intelligenceProjections from Draftanomics's career-value model. Defensible at every line.