On the live board, bust risk sits at 3% and the realistic range is No. 16 to No. 138.
The model graded Antonio Garcia at pick #49; he was actually picked #85 by NWE. Model expects a second-deal AAV around $8M/yr.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
We had him No. 49 on draft night; NWE didn't call his name until No. 85 — a 36-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Historical players this prospect resembles
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Draftanomics had Antonio Garcia at #49 on draft night — a Day 2 grade — and NWE took him at No. 85, 36 picks later than our grade. The model's case leans on broad top-100 board coverage. Bust risk projects at 3%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #92 pre-draft; our board was 43 spots higher.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 2, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Too early to project a career arc.
No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.
19 public boards track this prospect. Per-board breakdown loads with the live board.
Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.
Working in his favor: how many boards rank him top-100 and his charted pass-block efficiency career avg. Working against him: his charted gap run block grade.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Not enough to go on yet — no public board ranks him and there's no production or testing data to anchor a career projection.
Everything that could go wrong with Antonio Garcia, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Based on each team's roster depth at Offensive line, age, and recent capital invested.
Closest historical matches among prior Offensive line prospects who were drafted, by overall statistical profile. A smaller distance means a closer match.
| Player | Pos | Year | Pick | Snap trajectory | Career arc | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Rodgers | OT | 2015 | #225 | no data | TBD | 0.49 |
| Denzelle Good | OT | 2015 | #255 | no data | TBD | 0.99 |
| Andrew Donnal | OT | 2015 | #119 | no data | TBD | 1.48 |
| Brandon Scherff | OT | 2015 | #5 | no data | TBD | 1.68 |
| Ty Sambrailo | OT | 2015 | #59 | no data | TBD | 1.88 |