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Josh Rosen

QB · UCLA · age 21.2 · 6'4" · 226 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#13
1st Round
Bust probability
28%
Moderate
Actual NFL pick
#10
ARI
Consensus rank
#9
27 sources

Why this projection

+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
Pre-draft consensus+0.10
Boards ranking him top-100+0.08
Boards ranking him top-50+0.04
Rank within his position class+0.03
Number of public boards+0.03
High-school recruit grade+0.02
cons min rank+0.02
Age at draft+0.02

Pre-draft consensus (29 sources)

ESPN Scouts Inc.#9
Athlon Sports#7
Bleacher Report (Matt Miller)#8
Canal Street Chronicles (Deuce Windham)#9
CBS (Chris Trapasso)#28
Drafttek#4
Fanspeak (Steve Shoup)#2
Gmen Hq (Henry Buggy)#4
Mile High Report (Christopher Hart)#7
NFL Com (Mike Mayock)#21
NFL Spin Zone (Peter Smith)#2
Nj Com (Matt Lombardo)#7
Pewter Report (Trevor Sikkema)#10
Pro Football Focus#6
SB Nation (Dan Kadar)#6
Sporting News (Eric Galko)#104

NFL outcomes (so far)

Seasons
3
Avg snap share
30%
2nd-deal AAV
$0.8M

Closest historical comps

PlayerDraftYear 1 grade (of 20)Arc
Jared Goff2016 · #18.4Starter
Carson Wentz2016 · #214.6Starter
Connor Cook2016 · #1007.4Bust
Christian Hackenberg2016 · #51TBD
Paxton Lynch2016 · #269.9Starter
Draftanomics · NFL draft intelligenceProjections from Draftanomics's career-value model. Defensible at every line.