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Print-ready scout sheet
Luke Falk
QB · Washington St. · age 23.3 · 6'4" · 215 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#151
Day 3
Bust probability
44%
Moderate
Actual NFL pick
#199
TEN
Consensus rank
#141
4 sources
Why this projection
+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
| Age at draft | -0.04 |
| Boards ranking him top-100 | -0.02 |
| College production | -0.02 |
| charting clean pocket grade career avg | -0.02 |
| Pre-draft consensus | -0.01 |
| cons rank std | +0.01 |
| charting total career snaps | +0.01 |
| Positional consistency | +0.01 |
Pre-draft consensus (5 sources)
ESPN Scouts Inc.#96
Gmen Hq (Henry Buggy)#96
Mile High Report (Christopher Hart)#91
Walter Football (Charlie Campbell)#94
White Wolf Sports (Dylan Chappine)#88
NFL outcomes (so far)
Seasons
2
Avg snap share
7%
2nd-deal AAV
$0.6M
Closest historical comps
| Player | Draft | Year 1 grade (of 20) | Arc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Mannion | 2015 · #89 | 9.0 | Franchise |
| Trevor Siemian | 2015 · #250 | 7.5 | Franchise |
| Jake Rudock | 2016 · #191 | — | Bust |
| Connor Cook | 2016 · #100 | 7.4 | Bust |
| Carson Wentz | 2016 · #2 | 14.6 | Starter |