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2018 NFL Draft prospect
Jermaine Kelly
age 23.2
On the live board, bust risk sits at 53% and the realistic range is No. 75 to No. 230.
rank#231CompDexter McDonald
Limited public-board coverage (1 board) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Jermaine Kelly at pick #231; he was actually picked #222 by HOU. The 4-tier model has him as a likely role.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#231CB·San Jose St.
We had him No. 231 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — HOU took him at No. 222. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk5
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps5
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports