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Duke Dawson

CB · Florida · age 22.5 · 5'10" · 208 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 6, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#178
Day 3
Bust probability
53%
Elevated
Actual NFL pick
#56
NWE
Consensus rank
#146
15 sources

Why this projection

+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
charting coverage grade career avg+0.04
High-school recruit grade-0.04
Number of public boards+0.03
Pre-draft consensus-0.03
charting catch rate allowed avg-0.02
College production-0.01
charting fir career avg-0.01
cons max rank+0.01

Pre-draft consensus (16 sources)

ESPN Scouts Inc.#70
Athlon Sports#96
Drafttek#84
Fanspeak (Steve Shoup)#105
Gmen Hq (Henry Buggy)#97
Mile High Report (Christopher Hart)#67
NFL Com (Mike Mayock)#90
Nj Com (Matt Lombardo)#108
Pewter Report (Trevor Sikkema)#81
Sporting News (Eric Galko)#112
The Draft Network (Joe Marino)#66
The Draft Network (Kyle Crabbs)#113
The Phinsider (Clint Clearwater)#109
Turf Show Times (Misone Adiasor)#89
Walter Football (Charlie Campbell)#74
White Wolf Sports (Dylan Chappine)#110

NFL outcomes (so far)

Seasons
3
Avg snap share
12%
2nd-deal AAV
$0.3M

Closest historical comps

PlayerDraftYear 1 grade (of 20)Arc
Quandre Diggs2015 · #2005.0Franchise
Blake Countess2016 · #1964.3Contributor
Tevin Mitchel2015 · #182TBD
KeiVarae Russell2016 · #740.4Contributor
Senquez Golson2015 · #56TBD
Draftanomics · NFL draft intelligenceProjections from Draftanomics's career-value model. Defensible at every line.