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Print-ready scout sheet

Baker Mayfield

QB · Oklahoma · age 23.0 · 6'1" · 215 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#3
Blue Chip
Bust probability
4%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#1
CLE
Consensus rank
#11
27 sources

Why this projection

+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
Pre-draft consensus+0.10
Boards ranking him top-100+0.08
Boards ranking him top-50+0.04
charting pass grade max+0.04
charting recv offense grade+0.03
Number of public boards+0.03
cons min rank+0.02
Rank within his position class+0.02

Pre-draft consensus (29 sources)

ESPN Scouts Inc.#11
Athlon Sports#21
Bleacher Report (Matt Miller)#12
Canal Street Chronicles (Deuce Windham)#11
CBS (Chris Trapasso)#21
Drafttek#11
Fanspeak (Steve Shoup)#1
Gmen Hq (Henry Buggy)#5
Mile High Report (Christopher Hart)#12
NFL Com (Mike Mayock)#22
NFL Spin Zone (Peter Smith)#1
Nj Com (Matt Lombardo)#11
Pewter Report (Trevor Sikkema)#18
Pro Football Focus#1
SB Nation (Dan Kadar)#10
Sporting News (Eric Galko)#103

NFL outcomes (so far)

Seasons
8
Games played
17
Avg snap share
77%
2nd-deal AAV
$15.4M

Closest historical comps

PlayerDraftYear 1 grade (of 20)Arc
Kevin Hogan2016 · #1629.2Starter
Paxton Lynch2016 · #269.9Starter
Brandon Allen2016 · #201TBD
Marcus Mariota2015 · #214.6Franchise
Jared Goff2016 · #18.4Starter
Draftanomics · NFL draft intelligenceProjections from Draftanomics's career-value model. Defensible at every line.