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Print-ready scout sheet
Baker Mayfield
QB · Oklahoma · age 23.0 · 6'1" · 215 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#3
Blue Chip
Bust probability
4%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#1
CLE
Consensus rank
#11
27 sources
Why this projection
+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
| Pre-draft consensus | +0.10 |
| Boards ranking him top-100 | +0.08 |
| Boards ranking him top-50 | +0.04 |
| charting pass grade max | +0.04 |
| charting recv offense grade | +0.03 |
| Number of public boards | +0.03 |
| cons min rank | +0.02 |
| Rank within his position class | +0.02 |
Pre-draft consensus (29 sources)
ESPN Scouts Inc.#11
Athlon Sports#21
Bleacher Report (Matt Miller)#12
Canal Street Chronicles (Deuce Windham)#11
CBS (Chris Trapasso)#21
Drafttek#11
Fanspeak (Steve Shoup)#1
Gmen Hq (Henry Buggy)#5
Mile High Report (Christopher Hart)#12
NFL Com (Mike Mayock)#22
NFL Spin Zone (Peter Smith)#1
Nj Com (Matt Lombardo)#11
Pewter Report (Trevor Sikkema)#18
Pro Football Focus#1
SB Nation (Dan Kadar)#10
Sporting News (Eric Galko)#103
NFL outcomes (so far)
Seasons
8
Games played
17
Avg snap share
77%
2nd-deal AAV
$15.4M
Closest historical comps
| Player | Draft | Year 1 grade (of 20) | Arc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Hogan | 2016 · #162 | 9.2 | Starter |
| Paxton Lynch | 2016 · #26 | 9.9 | Starter |
| Brandon Allen | 2016 · #201 | — | TBD |
| Marcus Mariota | 2015 · #2 | 14.6 | Franchise |
| Jared Goff | 2016 · #1 | 8.4 | Starter |