← Back to prospect
Print-ready scout sheet
Trace McSorley
QB · Penn St. · age 23.7 · 6'0" · 202 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#175
Day 3
Bust probability
16%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#197
BAL
Consensus rank
#51
1 sources
Why this projection
+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
| Age at draft | -0.07 |
| Boards ranking him top-100 | -0.04 |
| ppa vs p5 share | -0.03 |
| Athletic testing | +0.03 |
| Positional consistency | -0.03 |
| charting total career snaps | +0.03 |
| RAS × production | +0.02 |
| Number of public boards | -0.01 |
Pre-draft consensus (2 sources)
ESPN Scouts Inc.#259
White Wolf Sports (Dylan Chappine)#53
NFL outcomes (so far)
Seasons
3
Avg snap share
5%
2nd-deal AAV
$0.9M
Closest historical comps
| Player | Draft | Year 1 grade (of 20) | Arc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Cook | 2016 · #100 | 7.4 | Bust |
| Cardale Jones | 2016 · #139 | 6.7 | Bust |
| Kevin Hogan | 2016 · #162 | 9.2 | Starter |
| Bryce Petty | 2015 · #103 | — | Starter |
| Jake Rudock | 2016 · #191 | — | Bust |