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Print-ready scout sheet
Tua Tagovailoa
QB · Alabama · age 22.1 · 6'0" · 217 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#8
1st Round
Bust probability
19%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#5
MIA
Consensus rank
#5
28 sources
Why this projection
+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
| Pre-draft consensus | +0.10 |
| Boards ranking him top-100 | +0.10 |
| charting pass grade max | +0.05 |
| Boards ranking him top-50 | +0.03 |
| Rank within his position class | +0.02 |
| High-school recruit grade | +0.02 |
| College production | +0.02 |
| cons min rank | +0.02 |
Pre-draft consensus (30 sources)
ESPN Scouts Inc.#7
247 Sports (Andrew Freeman)#12
Bleacher Report (Matt Miller)#6
Blue Chip Scouting (Dante Collinelli)#6
Blue Chip Scouting (Mike Hrynyshyn)#7
CBS (Josh Edwards)#10
Drafttek#4
Draftwire (Luke Easterling)#4
Halils Real Football Talk (Hallach Halil)#9
NFL Com (Daniel Jeremiah)#6
NFL Draft Bible#5
NFL Mocks (Garrett Ballard)#8
Pewter Report (Jon Ledyard)#7
Pro Football Network#7
Rotoworld (Josh Norris)#2
SB Nation (Dan Kadar)#8
NFL outcomes (so far)
Seasons
6
Games played
14
Avg snap share
57%
2nd-deal AAV
$53.1M
Closest historical comps
| Player | Draft | Year 1 grade (of 20) | Arc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Rudolph | 2018 · #76 | — | Contributor |
| Lamar Jackson | 2018 · #32 | 15.1 | Franchise |
| Baker Mayfield | 2018 · #1 | 13.4 | Franchise |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 2017 · #2 | 12.9 | Bust |
| Sam Darnold | 2018 · #3 | 10.3 | Franchise |