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Print-ready scout sheet

Justin Herbert

QB · Oregon · age 22.1 · 6'6" · 236 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#33
Day 2
Bust probability
13%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#6
LAC
Consensus rank
#17
27 sources

Why this projection

+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
Boards ranking him top-100+0.09
Pre-draft consensus+0.07
charting pass grade max+0.04
Boards ranking him top-50+0.03
Athletic testing+0.02
Age at draft+0.02
cons min rank+0.02
charting pressure grade career avg-0.02

Pre-draft consensus (29 sources)

ESPN Scouts Inc.#24
247 Sports (Andrew Freeman)#29
Bleacher Report (Matt Miller)#27
Blue Chip Scouting (Dante Collinelli)#22
Blue Chip Scouting (Mike Hrynyshyn)#21
CBS (Josh Edwards)#36
Drafttek#12
Draftwire (Luke Easterling)#15
Halils Real Football Talk (Hallach Halil)#37
NFL Com (Daniel Jeremiah)#20
NFL Draft Bible#4
NFL Mocks (Garrett Ballard)#24
Pewter Report (Jon Ledyard)#56
Pro Football Network#14
Rotoworld (Josh Norris)#25
SB Nation (Dan Kadar)#16

NFL outcomes (so far)

Seasons
6
Games played
17
Avg snap share
79%
2nd-deal AAV
$52.5M

Closest historical comps

PlayerDraftYear 1 grade (of 20)Arc
Sam Darnold2018 · #310.3Franchise
Josh Rosen2018 · #108.5Contributor
Mitchell Trubisky2017 · #212.9Bust
Josh Allen2018 · #714.0Franchise
Connor Cook2016 · #1007.4Bust
Draftanomics · NFL draft intelligenceProjections from Draftanomics's career-value model. Defensible at every line.