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Print-ready scout sheet
Justin Herbert
QB · Oregon · age 22.1 · 6'6" · 236 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#33
Day 2
Bust probability
13%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#6
LAC
Consensus rank
#17
27 sources
Why this projection
+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
| Boards ranking him top-100 | +0.09 |
| Pre-draft consensus | +0.07 |
| charting pass grade max | +0.04 |
| Boards ranking him top-50 | +0.03 |
| Athletic testing | +0.02 |
| Age at draft | +0.02 |
| cons min rank | +0.02 |
| charting pressure grade career avg | -0.02 |
Pre-draft consensus (29 sources)
ESPN Scouts Inc.#24
247 Sports (Andrew Freeman)#29
Bleacher Report (Matt Miller)#27
Blue Chip Scouting (Dante Collinelli)#22
Blue Chip Scouting (Mike Hrynyshyn)#21
CBS (Josh Edwards)#36
Drafttek#12
Draftwire (Luke Easterling)#15
Halils Real Football Talk (Hallach Halil)#37
NFL Com (Daniel Jeremiah)#20
NFL Draft Bible#4
NFL Mocks (Garrett Ballard)#24
Pewter Report (Jon Ledyard)#56
Pro Football Network#14
Rotoworld (Josh Norris)#25
SB Nation (Dan Kadar)#16
NFL outcomes (so far)
Seasons
6
Games played
17
Avg snap share
79%
2nd-deal AAV
$52.5M
Closest historical comps
| Player | Draft | Year 1 grade (of 20) | Arc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | 2018 · #3 | 10.3 | Franchise |
| Josh Rosen | 2018 · #10 | 8.5 | Contributor |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 2017 · #2 | 12.9 | Bust |
| Josh Allen | 2018 · #7 | 14.0 | Franchise |
| Connor Cook | 2016 · #100 | 7.4 | Bust |