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Print-ready scout sheet
Joe Burrow
QB · LSU · age 23.4 · 6'3" · 221 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#1
Blue Chip
Bust probability
6%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#1
CIN
Consensus rank
#2
28 sources
Why this projection
+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
| Boards ranking him top-100 | +0.11 |
| Pre-draft consensus | +0.11 |
| charting pass grade max | +0.05 |
| Boards ranking him top-50 | +0.04 |
| Age at draft | -0.03 |
| Number of public boards | +0.03 |
| Rank within his position class | +0.03 |
| cons min rank | +0.03 |
Pre-draft consensus (30 sources)
ESPN Scouts Inc.#2
247 Sports (Andrew Freeman)#1
Bleacher Report (Matt Miller)#2
Blue Chip Scouting (Dante Collinelli)#5
Blue Chip Scouting (Mike Hrynyshyn)#2
CBS (Josh Edwards)#4
Drafttek#2
Draftwire (Luke Easterling)#2
Halils Real Football Talk (Hallach Halil)#5
NFL Com (Daniel Jeremiah)#2
NFL Draft Bible#2
NFL Mocks (Garrett Ballard)#1
Pewter Report (Jon Ledyard)#1
Pro Football Network#3
Rotoworld (Josh Norris)#1
SB Nation (Dan Kadar)#3
NFL outcomes (so far)
Seasons
6
Games played
8
Avg snap share
69%
2nd-deal AAV
$55.0M
Closest historical comps
| Player | Draft | Year 1 grade (of 20) | Arc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | 2018 · #1 | 13.4 | Franchise |
| Kevin Hogan | 2016 · #162 | 9.2 | Starter |
| Lamar Jackson | 2018 · #32 | 15.1 | Franchise |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 2017 · #2 | 12.9 | Bust |
| Deshaun Watson | 2017 · #12 | 15.8 | Bust |