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2021 NFL Draft prospect
Darrick Forrest
age 21.9 · 5'11" · 206 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 18% and the realistic range is No. 117 to No. 267.
Big 12→ WAS's 2021 class
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Darrick Forrest at pick #174; he was actually picked #163 by WAS. 4 NFL seasons in, he's hung on the fringe of the rotation (grading 5.4 of 20 per season), and the market has paid him — a second deal at $1.3M a year. The 4-tier model has him as a likely role. NFL grades have been modest so far (1% recent-3, 7% peak across 4 seasons).
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Medium convictionprojected rangeRounds 4-6half of comparable prospects went picks 115-207S·Cincinnati
We had him No. 174 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — WAS took him at No. 163. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production4
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps5
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports