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Michael Carter

RB · North Carolina · age 22.0 · 5'7" · 201 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 6, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#23
1st Round
Bust probability
6%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#107
NYJ
Consensus rank
#86
22 sources

Why this projection

+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
Boards ranking him top-100+0.09
charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season+0.05
charting elusive+0.03
Pre-draft consensus-0.02
ppa vs p5 share-0.02
charting yards after contact per att+0.02
cons max rank+0.01
RAS × production+0.01

Pre-draft consensus (23 sources)

ESPN Scouts Inc.#83
Action Network (Matthew Freedman)#77
Behind The Steel Curtain#89
Bleacher Report#68
Bleeding Green Nation (Ben Natan)#63
Blue Chip Scouting (Nick Price)#78
CBS (Chris Trapasso)#113
College Football News (Pete Fiutak)#93
Draft Ace (Ryan Mccrystal)#73
Draftplex (Jason Pruett)#73
Drafttek#76
Eds Football (Kevin Hanson)#91
Nbc Sports (Thor Nystrom)#79
Pewter Report (Jon Ledyard)#55
Pigskin Nut (Austin Smith)#78
SI (John Shipley)#48

NFL outcomes (so far)

Seasons
5
Games played
13
Avg snap share
23%
2nd-deal AAV
$1.2M

Closest historical comps

PlayerDraftYear 1 grade (of 20)Arc
Paul Perkins2016 · #14911.6Starter
Joe Mixon2017 · #4817.0Bust
Marlon Mack2017 · #14315.9Bust
Trayveon Williams2019 · #1820.1Bust
C.J. Prosise2016 · #9013.5Starter
Draftanomics · NFL draft intelligenceProjections from Draftanomics's career-value model. Defensible at every line.