Cole Spence, the Vanderbilt tight end, put together a real jump in production between the two seasons on file — 10 catches for 101 yards in 2024 up to 15 for 233 in 2025, with his yards per catch climbing from 10.1 to 15.5 — all from a 6-foot-6 frame. Draftanomics's model doesn't return a real grade on him yet: with only production numbers in the file, this comes back as no model grade rather than a fight with the room over his No. 252 internal slot in the 2027 class. The tier read still leans toward an elite outcome (37.5%), ahead of both a starter track (32.2%) and a role-player one (20.7%).
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Both of the model's reads put him in Day-3 / priority-free-agent range. If the public boards are higher, the model is the one doing the fading — check the dossier for what it isn't seeing.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Historical players this prospect resembles
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Too early to project a career arc.
No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.
No public-board coverage yet.
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The grade is held down by how many boards rank him top-100, his charted gap run block grade, and scout consensus.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Everything that could go wrong with Cole Spence, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.