Loaded just now
2027 NFL Draft prospect
Nate Johnson
6'6" · 225 lb
Thin data0 of 5 evidence groups on fileModel reads below lean on very little — weight them accordingly.
On the live board, bust risk sits at 35% and the historical draft-day landing band is No. 103 to No. 237.
SEC
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
The story
The model grades Nate Johnson as a #186 value in this projected class. The projected second-deal AAV band is $7.4M-$11.3M/yr. On the live board, bust risk sits at 35% and the historical draft-day landing band is No. 103 to No. 237.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Mixed agreementprojected rangeRounds 3-7draft-day landing band #103–237Projected 2nd-deal AAV$7.4M-$11.3M/yrEDGE·Auburn
Both of the model's reads put him in Day-3 / priority-free-agent range. If the public boards are higher, the model is the one doing the fading — check the dossier for what it isn't seeing.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Comps
Historical players this prospect resembles
Risk
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports