Turbo Richard piled up touches in 2025 — 145 carries for 749 yards and nine touchdowns — but his per-play value fell off a cliff, dropping from a 0.225 reading on a smaller 2024 workload to just 0.054 a year later. The career-value board has him at No. 247 overall, and there's no consensus rank to check it against; the dissent read here is 'no model grade,' meaning the room hasn't handed him a card yet either.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Both of the model's reads put him in Day-3 / priority-free-agent range. If the public boards are higher, the model is the one doing the fading — check the dossier for what it isn't seeing.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Historical players this prospect resembles
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
A Charlotte, NC native, Richard arrived at Indiana as a three-star recruit. He enters the season as a junior, listed at 5'9" and 204 pounds, wearing No. 1.
Too early to project a career arc.
No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.
No public-board coverage yet.
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The displayed grade is held down most by scout consensus and production trajectory.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
No analyst board has ranked this prospect yet, and the file is still thin — the graded panels below are the honest read. We write a report when there's a real disagreement to argue or scouting film to cite.
Broke out in 2025 — 748 rushing yards after never topping 278 in a season before.
| Season | Team | Games | Carries | Rush yards | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boston Col | 8 | 55 | 278 | 2 | 3 | 66 |
| 2025 | Boston Col | 11 | 145 | 748 | 9 | 30 | 212 |
Counting stats from charted college games. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded that season.
Percentiles are direction-aware — for 40-time / 3-cone / shuttle, lower is faster, so a 95th-percentile mark means faster than 95% of peers. Hover any percentile for the exact peer group and sample size. A missing row means he hasn't posted that measurement.
Everything that could go wrong with Turbo Richard, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Failure-mode scan combining bust probability, closest historical comp's arc, age curve, and active flags. Read this before turning in the card.
The 4-tier hybrid model assigns elevated bust risk. Above 30% bust prob is the threshold above which historical false-positive rates spike — confirm the production signal isn't being rescued by an outlier athletic test.
No draft-media headlines link here yet — when an outlet we track writes this player up, it lands in this panel automatically.