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2028 NFL Draft prospect
Arch Manning
6'4" · 215 lb
Thin data1 of 5 kinds of evidence on fileModel reads below lean on very little — weight them accordingly.
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
The story
Arch Manning protected the football while still doing damage on the ground in his first full season under center at Texas, throwing 26 touchdowns against seven interceptions on 404 attempts and adding 10 more scores on 92 carries. The model has him at No. 142 on its early 2028 board, but there's no consensus board to check that against yet, and the dissent read comes back as no draftable grade to compare it to.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
High convictionprojected rangeRounds 3-6half of comparable prospects went picks 91-192QB·Texas
Both of the model's reads put him in Day-3 / priority-free-agent range. If the public boards are higher, the model is the one doing the fading — check the dossier for what it isn't seeing.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports