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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. 2028 board/
  3. David Moore
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David Moore
2028 NFL Draft prospect

David Moore

CB·Arkansas State
5'11" · 170 lb
Thin data0 of 5 kinds of evidence on fileModel reads below lean on very little — weight them accordingly.

On the live board, bust risk sits at 36% and the realistic range is No. 97 to No. 254.

R2-5
Print sheet
⚠Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
The story

The model grades David Moore as a #97 value in this projected class. On the live board, bust risk sits at 36% and the realistic range is No. 97 to No. 254.

David MooreCBDraftanomics #97
Print
Dossier
OverviewScouting reportWhy this gradeConsensusProductionRisk1Team fitWill he be there?Comps0Film & notes

Overview

Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take

Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction
projected rangeRounds 2-5half of comparable prospects went picks 61-157CB·Arkansas State

Both of the model's reads put him in Day-3 / priority-free-agent range. If the public boards are higher, the model is the one doing the fading — check the dossier for what it isn't seeing.

Draftanomics's take

Scouting report

The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet

Why this grade

Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English

Consensus

The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it

Production

Measurables, traits, and college play quality

Risk1

Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem

Team fit

How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes

Will he be there?

Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks

Comps0

Historical players this prospect resembles

Film & notes

Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports

Draftanomics ranks David Moore at #97 overall — a Day 2 grade. Bust risk projects at 36%, near the position baseline.

Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 3, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.

Draftanomics Pick?
#97
Day 2range #97–#254 · volatile
Bust Probability?
36%
Moderate(class baseline unavailable)
Model trust: WEAK
Career outlook

Career outlook

How this is built →
5-year career arc

Too early to project a career arc.

No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.

Projected second contract
$1.5M($0M–$8.3M)/yr model
Minimum / UDFA territory
Bust risk
36%
from a model with a graded track record at this position
Public-board consensus

No public-board coverage yet.

Pin a team in your account to see how this prospect fits your roster + cap.
Scout note
Private to this device — saved to your browser, never sent to a server.
Empty notes are auto-deleted.

Film

Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.

Working in his favor: age. Working against him: how many boards rank him top-100 and conference strength.

Age
+0.04
Conference strength
-0.02
HS recruit rating
+0.02
Scout consensus
-0.02
Athleticism
-0.01
College production
+0.01

Model read

Model grade
0.48 of 1
Confidence?
29%
Predicted round
3

The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.

Pulling the boards…
Mock-draft consensus
Pulling the mocks…
4-tier outlook?

Not enough to go on yet — no public board ranks him and there's no production or testing data to anchor a career projection.

Risk dashboard

Elevated risk — watch the flags

Risk score36· WATCH

Everything that could go wrong with David Moore, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.

  • Bust probability36%
    Elevated bust risk — the profile carries one-year-wonder, age, or athleticism red flags.
  • Public-board coverage0 sources
    No public big board has ranked this prospect yet. The grade rests entirely on stats, measurables, and age — hold it loosely.
  • Predicted-pick range#97–254 · 157-pick spread
    The model's own projections scatter widely for this prospect — the landing spot is genuinely uncertain.

Case for / case against

Named, concrete signals — every flag cites numbers, comp players, or schedule context.

Reasons to fade
Not on any consensus board
high
Model has him at pick #97 but ZERO public big boards have him on their list. Either we're seeing something nobody else does, or the model is hallucinating.
Reasons to buy
No opportunity flags raised.
Scheme context
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Scout reports
Paste in any scouting report you trust; Draftanomics pulls out the concrete claims so you can weigh them against the model on the same page.
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    Who picks where he’s projected

    Roster-based need returns once the 2027 season is played — grading this year’s teams on last year’s depth chart would be guessing. What’s knowable now: the teams holding picks around No. 97, and which of them already spent premium capital at CB / S in the 2027 draft.

    HOU · No. 91BUF · No. 92JAX · No. 93NE · No. 94DEN · No. 95SEA · No. 96CLE · No. 97WAS · No. 98

    Gold means no recent premium investment at CB / S — the cleaner fit on paper. Grey means they already spent one.