On the live board, bust risk sits at 28% and the realistic range is No. 40 to No. 166.
Mason Posa put together a real box score at Wisconsin in 2025 — 57 tackles, four sacks, four tackles for loss and four pass breakups in his only qualifying season as a front-seven piece. The model's career-value board has him at No. 31 for the 2028 class, but not a single public board carries him yet, so this is the model running well ahead of the room for now.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
The board slot runs well ahead of our consensus-calibrated read, and no public boards rank him yet to arbitrate. A real range, not a lock.
Too early to project a career arc.
No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.
No public-board coverage yet.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Historical players this prospect resembles
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.
Working in his favor: his charted run def grade career avg and age. Working against him: how many boards rank him top-100.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Named, concrete signals — every flag cites numbers, comp players, or schedule context.
No opportunity flags raised.
Roster-based need returns once the 2027 season is played — grading this year’s teams on last year’s depth chart would be guessing. What’s knowable now: the teams holding picks around No. 31, and which of them already spent premium capital at EDGE / DL / LB in the 2027 draft.
Gold means no recent premium investment at EDGE / DL / LB — the cleaner fit on paper. Grey means they already spent one.
No sourced scouting observations indexed yet — this read is model-only.
This is a model bet before it's a room bet — no board has Posa rated, but the tackle and sack production plus a starter-leaning tier read make the case for a real front-seven prospect worth tracking early. The 28 percent bust number keeps this from being a lock, but on what's here now, buy the model's dissent rather than wait for the room to catch up.
Written by Draftanomics's models from the statistical record — no scouting sources cover this player yet, so no film claims appear. Every number is machine-checked against the live data before publication. How these reports are written →
One college season on record — 61 total tackles at Wisconsin in 2025.
| Season | Team | Games | Tackles | TFL | Sacks | INT | PBU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Wisconsin | 11 | 61 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
Counting stats from charted college games. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded that season.
Percentiles are direction-aware — for 40-time / 3-cone / shuttle, lower is faster, so a 95th-percentile mark means faster than 95% of peers. Hover any percentile for the exact peer group and sample size. A missing row means he hasn't posted that measurement.
Everything that could go wrong with Mason Posa, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Failure-mode scan combining bust probability, closest historical comp's arc, age curve, and active flags. Read this before turning in the card.
The 4-tier hybrid model assigns elevated bust risk. Above 30% bust prob is the threshold above which historical false-positive rates spike — confirm the production signal isn't being rescued by an outlier athletic test.
No draft-media headlines link here yet — when an outlet we track writes this player up, it lands in this panel automatically.