Refreshed just now
2028 NFL Draft prospect
Tray Kinkle
5'11" · 200 lb · Holly Springs, MS
Thin data0 of 5 evidence groups on fileModel reads below lean on very little — weight them accordingly.
On the live board, bust risk sits at 54% and the realistic range is No. 108 to No. 242.
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
The story
Tray Kinkle's entire college resume fits on one line: one carry for 15 yards, no touchdowns, in the only season on file. The model still slots him at No. 191 overall and calls him a projected 'starter,' though no public board has weighed in yet to check that math against anything.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low convictionprojected rangeRounds 4-6half of comparable prospects went picks 143-225Projected 2nd-deal AAV$5.0M-$7.6M/yrRB·South Florida
Both of the model's reads put him in Day-3 / priority-free-agent range. If the public boards are higher, the model is the one doing the fading — check the dossier for what it isn't seeing.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Comps
Historical players this prospect resembles
Risk
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports