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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. 2017 board/
  3. Sean Harlow
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Sean Harlow
2017 NFL Draft prospect

Sean Harlow

G·Oregon St.·Pac-12
6'4" · 303 lb

On the live board, bust risk sits at 15% and the realistic range is No. 99 to No. 249.

156CompJamil Douglas
Pac-12→ ATL's 2017 class
Print sheet
⚠Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality

The model graded Sean Harlow at pick #156; he was actually picked #136 by ATL.

Sean HarlowGDraftanomics #156
Print
Dossier
OverviewScouting reportWhy this gradeConsensusProductionRisk0Team fit5Will he be there?Comps5Film & notes

Overview

Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take

Draftanomics Rank
Medium conviction
#156G·Oregon St.

The league moved faster than our board — ATL took him at No. 136, 20 picks ahead of our No. 156 grade. His career is settling that argument now.

Scouting report

The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet

Why this grade

Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English

Consensus

The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it

Production

Measurables, traits, and college play quality

Risk0

Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem

Team fit5

How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes

Will he be there?

Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks

Comps5

Historical players this prospect resembles

Film & notes

Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports

Draftanomics's take

Draftanomics had Sean Harlow at #156 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and ATL took him at No. 136, 20 picks earlier than our grade. Bust risk projects at 15%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade.

Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 5, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.

Draftanomics Pick?
#156
Day 3range #99–#249 · volatile
Bust Probability?
15%
1.92× Offensive line class avg (8%)
well above class avg
Model trust: MODERATE
Actual NFL Pick?
#136
ATL · Rd 4
Year 1 Outcome?
No NFL data yet
Career outlook

Career outlook

How this is built →
5-year career arc

Too early to project a career arc.

No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.

Projected second contract
$4.6M($0M–$12.9M)/yr model
Role player / rotation contract
Bust risk
15%
realistic range 53–100%from a model with a graded track record at this position
Public-board consensus

No public-board coverage yet.

Pin a team in your account to see how this prospect fits your roster + cap.
Scout note
Private to this device — saved to your browser, never sent to a server.
Empty notes are auto-deleted.
Verdict
Model lower than NFL
Gap (actual − predicted)
-20

Film

Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.

Working in his favor: age. Working against him: how many boards rank him top-100 and his charted total career snaps.

Age
+0.03
Scout consensus
-0.02
RAS × production
+0.02
Athleticism
-0.01

Model read

Model grade
0.44 of 1
Confidence?
57%
Predicted round
5

The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.

Pulling the boards…
Mock-draft consensus
Pulling the mocks…
4-tier outlook?

Not enough to go on yet — no public board ranks him and there's no production or testing data to anchor a career projection.

Risk dashboard

Elevated risk — watch the flags

Risk score24· WATCH

Everything that could go wrong with Sean Harlow, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.

  • Public-board coverage0 sources
    No public big board has ranked this prospect yet. The grade rests entirely on stats, measurables, and age — hold it loosely.
  • Predicted-pick range#99–249 · 150-pick spread
    The model's own projections scatter widely for this prospect — the landing spot is genuinely uncertain.
  • Bust probability15%
    Low bust risk by the model's read.
Scheme context
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Teams likely to draft

Based on each team's roster depth at Offensive line, age, and recent capital invested.

NO#1 fit
Need at positionComfortableQuality starters7Roster spots short0Recent picks spent hereLittle
SD#2 fit
Need at positionComfortableQuality starters8Roster spots short0Recent picks spent hereLittle
SF#3 fit
Need at positionComfortableQuality starters6Roster spots short0Recent picks spent hereLittle
TB#4 fit
Need at positionComfortableQuality starters6Roster spots short0Recent picks spent hereLittle
DET#5 fit
Need at positionComfortableQuality starters7Roster spots short0Recent picks spent hereHeavy

Historical comps

Side-by-side with top comps →

Closest historical matches among prior Offensive line prospects who were drafted, by overall statistical profile. A smaller distance means a closer match.

PlayerPosYearPickSnap trajectoryCareer arcDistance
Jamil DouglasG2015#114no dataTBD0.44
Robert MyersG2015#176no dataTBD0.51
Terry PooleG2015#130no dataTBD0.58
Jon FelicianoG2015#128no dataTBD0.58
Laken TomlinsonG2015#28no dataTBD1.02
Scout reports
Paste in any scouting report you trust; Draftanomics pulls out the concrete claims so you can weigh them against the model on the same page.
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