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2027 NFL Draft prospect
James Smith
6'3" · 310 lb
Profile so far2 of 5 kinds of evidence on file
On the live board, bust risk sits at 28% and the realistic range is No. 40 to No. 237.
rank#153$1.2M
The story
James Smith is a run-stuffing three-technique frame at 6-3 and 310 pounds, and the box score is trending the right way: tackles for loss climbed from 3.5 in 2024 to 6.5 in 2025, with sacks up from 1.0 to 2.5 over the same stretch. The model's board has him at No. 153 for the 2027 class, 35 spots ahead of the No. 188 consensus mark across five public boards.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Medium conviction#153DL·Ohio State
Both of the model's reads put him in Day-3 / priority-free-agent range. If the public boards are higher, the model is the one doing the fading — check the dossier for what it isn't seeing.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics ranks James Smith at #153 overall — a Day 3 grade. The model's case leans on broad top-100 board coverage and his age curve. Bust risk projects at 28%, near the position baseline. Public consensus has him #188; Draftanomics's board is 35 spots higher.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 5, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk1
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports