On the live board, bust risk sits at 38% and the realistic range is No. 127 to No. 261.
Isaac Terrell's box score turned a corner in 2025: seven sacks, 12 tackles for loss and 28 total stops, a leap from a 2024 season that produced zero sacks and one TFL. That jump came right before an off-season transfer from Washington State to Iowa State, so the two-year sample now spans two programs. Draftanomics's model has him at No. 210 in the 2027 class, a projection built entirely on that production spike since no public board has ranked him yet.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Both of the model's reads put him in Day-3 / priority-free-agent range. If the public boards are higher, the model is the one doing the fading — check the dossier for what it isn't seeing.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Historical players this prospect resembles
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Isaac Terrell arrived at Iowa State as a three-star recruit.
Too early to project a career arc.
No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.
No public-board coverage yet.
Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.
Working in his favor: age. Working against him: how many boards rank him top-100 and production trajectory.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Roster-based need returns once the 2026 season is played — grading this year’s teams on last year’s depth chart would be guessing. What’s knowable now: the teams holding picks around No. 210, and which of them already spent premium capital at EDGE / DL / LB in the 2026 draft.
Gold means no recent premium investment at EDGE / DL / LB — the cleaner fit on paper. Grey means they already spent one.
No sourced scouting observations indexed yet — this read is model-only.
There's no public board to argue against yet, so this is the model working in a vacuum: it likes the 2025 trend enough to call him a probable starter, but the bust read comes in at 38.4 percent with a wide 21.4-to-50.0 range, and we're doing all of this without a Combine or Pro Day number to lean on. That combination — thin sample, no testing, no market to check the model against — makes this a hold, not a bet: stash him on the watchlist and revisit once Iowa State's 2026 tape gives the sample a third data point. Buying in now on name value alone would be getting ahead of what the numbers can actually support.
Written by Draftanomics's models from the statistical record — no scouting sources cover this player yet, so no film claims appear. Every number is machine-checked against the live data before publication. How these reports are written →
First real production came in 2025 — 24 total tackles at Wash State.
| Season | Team | Games | Tackles | TFL | Sacks | INT | PBU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Wash State | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | Wash State | 10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | Wash State | 12 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Counting stats from charted college games. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded that season.
Percentiles are direction-aware — for 40-time / 3-cone / shuttle, lower is faster, so a 95th-percentile mark means faster than 95% of peers. Hover any percentile for the exact peer group and sample size. A missing row means he hasn't posted that measurement.
Everything that could go wrong with Isaac Terrell, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Failure-mode scan combining bust probability, closest historical comp's arc, age curve, and active flags. Read this before turning in the card.
The 4-tier hybrid model assigns elevated bust risk. Above 30% bust prob is the threshold above which historical false-positive rates spike — confirm the production signal isn't being rescued by an outlier athletic test.
No draft-media headlines link here yet — when an outlet we track writes this player up, it lands in this panel automatically.